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Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Daniel Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-121/-107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -121.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the New York Giants this year (a staggering 61.4 per game on average).
  • In this week's game, Daniel Jones is forecasted by the predictive model to notch the 4th-most carries out of all QBs with 6.6.
  • Daniel Jones isn't afraid to call his own number, making up 23.7% of his offense's carries this year, putting him in the 90th percentile among quarterbacks.
  • This year, the stout Washington Commanders run defense has conceded a measly 5.09 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing teams: the 27th-lowest rate in football.
  • As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Washington's collection of DTs has been awful this year, projecting as the 6th-worst in football. in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line implies a throwing game script for the Giants, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Giants are expected by our trusted projection set to run only 63.4 total plays in this contest: the 8th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Daniel Jones's 22.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year conveys a significant diminishment in his running talent over last year's 32.0 figure.
  • Daniel Jones's running effectiveness has tailed off this year, notching a measly 3.84 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 4.77 figure last year.

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