Daniel Jones Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Daniel Jones

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · New York Giants

Rushing Yards

New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 4, 2024

Updated Sep 27, 2024 12:26 AM EST

Analysis

Daniel Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to have 131.8 total plays run: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
In this week's game, Daniel Jones is predicted by the projections to garner the 5th-most rush attempts among all QBs with 7.8.
Daniel Jones isn't afraid to take off running, accounting for 23.5% of his team's rushing play calls this year, placing him in the 88th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.
Daniel Jones has grinded out 29.0 adjusted rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest figures in football among quarterbacks (85th percentile).
Opposing squads have run for the 9th-most adjusted yards in the league (125 per game) against the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Giants are a 4-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally mean increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.
With a terrible total of 4.5 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (22nd percentile), Daniel Jones stands as one of the bottom running quarterbacks in the league this year.

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