Daniel Jones Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Daniel Jones

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · New York Giants

Rushing Yards

New York Giants vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 3, 2023 12:01 AM EST

Analysis

Daniel Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast Daniel Jones to garner 8.2 rush attempts in this week's game, on average: the 4th-most among all QBs.
Daniel Jones has picked up 43.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the largest figures in the league when it comes to quarterbacks (89th percentile).
Opposing squads have rushed for the 3rd-most yards in football (141 per game) vs. the Seahawks defense since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The projections expect this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being called for in this game) typically prompt better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.
The leading projections forecast Daniel Jones to be a much smaller part of his offense's run game in this week's game (29.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (35.6% in games he has played).
The Giants O-line profiles as the 8th-worst in the league since the start of last season in run blocking.
Daniel Jones's running effectiveness has declined this season, notching just 4.11 yards-per-carry compared to a 6.70 figure last season.

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