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Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

San Francisco 49ers vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Daniel Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-103/-127).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ -103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to notch 7.3 rush attempts in this game, on average: the 5th-most of all quarterbacks.
  • THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to be a much bigger part of his team's rushing attack this week (29.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (23.8% in games he has played).
  • Daniel Jones has averaged 45.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest figures in football among QBs (89th percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Giants are a giant 10.5-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 59.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New York Giants O-line grades out as the 8th-worst in football since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.
  • Daniel Jones's running efficiency has diminished this season, averaging a mere 4.58 yards-per-carry vs a 6.70 mark last season.
  • Opposing teams have run for the least yards in the league (just 76 per game) vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season.

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