Daniel Jones Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Daniel Jones

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · New York Giants

Rushing Yards

New York Giants vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 17, 2022 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

Daniel Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants have been the 7th-most run-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) this year with a 43.0% run rate.
The New York Giants have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 61.2 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to earn 5.1 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 7th-most of all QBs.
THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to be a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this week (19.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (10.4% in games he has played).
Daniel Jones has run for a lot more yards per game (48.0) this season than he did last season (28.0).

Favors Under

The Giants are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing squads have rushed for the 9th-least yards in football (just 102 per game) versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year.
The Baltimore Ravens defensive tackles grade out as the 2nd-best DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

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