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Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Daniel Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run among all games this week at 129.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to garner 6.0 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the 5th-most of all QBs.
  • THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to be a more integral piece of his team's running game this week (21.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (12.5% in games he has played).
  • Daniel Jones has grinded out 28.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the highest figures in the NFL among QBs (87th percentile).
  • The Dallas Cowboys defensive tackles project as the worst collection of DTs in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 2nd-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 43.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The New York Giants have called the least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 61.7 plays per game.
  • The New York Giants O-line profiles as the worst in the league since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.
  • Daniel Jones's running efficiency has tailed off this year, compiling a measly 3.65 yards-per-carry vs a 5.83 figure last year.
  • The New York Giants have used motion in their offense on 26.6% of their plays since the start of last season (least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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