Daniel Jones Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Daniel Jones

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · New York Giants

Rushing Yards

New York Giants vs Carolina Panthers · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 10th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 43.2% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to total 5.9 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the 7th-most of all quarterbacks.
THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to be a more important option in his team's run game this week (20.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (13.9% in games he has played).
Daniel Jones has grinded out 28.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the highest marks in the league among QBs (86th percentile).

Favors Under

The New York Giants have run the 8th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling just 60.8 plays per game.
The New York Giants O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
The Carolina Panthers have stacked the box vs. opponents on 26.1% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The New York Giants have utilized motion in their offense on 26.6% of their plays since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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