Daniel Jones Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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Daniel Jones

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · New York Giants

Rushing Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Giants · Week 19, 2022

Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 10th-most run-centric offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 41.5% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 134.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 59.6 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to earn 5.7 rush attempts in this contest, on average: the 3rd-most of all QBs.
THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to be a much bigger part of his team's run game this week (20.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (12.3% in games he has played).

Favors Under

The Giants are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year in run blocking.
The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles rank as the best collection of DTs in the league this year in regard to defending the run.
The New York Giants have incorporated motion in their offense on 26.6% of their play-calls since the start of last season (least in the NFL), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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