Daniel Jones Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Daniel Jones

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · New York Giants

Rushing Yards

New York Giants vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 2, 2023 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (+103/-136).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ +103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 7th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 48.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 9th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to total 6.4 carries in this contest, on average: the 4th-most of all QBs.
THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to be a more important option in his offense's running game this week (20.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (11.8% in games he has played).

Favors Under

The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year at opening holes for rushers.
The Indianapolis Colts defensive tackles grade out as the 5th-best collection of DTs in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.
The New York Giants have used motion in their offense on 26.6% of their plays since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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