Daniel Jones Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Daniel Jones

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · New York Giants

Rushing Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Giants · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 24, 2022 5:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 7th-most run-centric offense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 42.0% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to total 5.5 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the 7th-most of all QBs.
THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to be a much bigger part of his team's running game this week (19.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (12.3% in games he has played).
Daniel Jones has rushed for significantly more yards per game (43.0) this year than he did last year (28.0).

Favors Under

The Giants are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The New York Giants offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in the league this year at opening holes for runners.
The Minnesota Vikings defense boasts the 8th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, conceding just 4.31 yards-per-carry.
The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles profile as the best unit in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

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