Daniel Jones Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Daniel Jones

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · New York Giants

Rushing Yards

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 8:21 PM EST

Analysis

Daniel Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 8th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 44.3% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 2nd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 60.0 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to garner 5.9 carries in this game, on average: the 4th-most of all QBs.
THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to be a much bigger part of his offense's running game this week (19.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (11.8% in games he has played).

Favors Under

The Giants are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
The New York Giants O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year at opening holes for runners.
The Philadelphia Eagles defensive ends rank as the best group of DEs in the league this year when it comes to run defense.
The New York Giants have used motion in their offense on 26.6% of their play-calls since the start of last season (2nd-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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