Daniel Jones Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Daniel Jones

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · New York Giants

Rushing Yards

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM EST

Analysis

Daniel Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-115/-119).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 6th-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 47.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New York Giants have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 60.1 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to accumulate 5.9 rush attempts in this week's game, on average: the 6th-most of all quarterbacks.
THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to be much more involved in his team's run game this week (19.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (10.7% in games he has played).
Daniel Jones has run for a lot more yards per game (43.0) this year than he did last year (28.0).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Giants O-line grades out as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year at opening holes for runners.
Opposing teams have run for the 10th-least yards in the league (just 109 per game) versus the Washington Commanders defense this year.
The Washington Commanders safeties rank as the 4th-best unit in football this year in regard to stopping the run.
The New York Giants have used motion in their offense on 26.6% of their plays since the start of last season (least in the NFL), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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