Daniel Jones Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · New York Giants

Rushing Yards

Tennessee Titans vs New York Giants · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to earn 4.8 rush attempts in this game, on average: the least of all quarterbacks.
THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to be a more important option in his team's rushing attack this week (20.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (13.2% in games he has played).
Daniel Jones has generated 28.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the largest marks in football among QBs (85th percentile).
The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in football. Choosing not to keep an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
The New York Giants have gone no-huddle on 30.1% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-most in the league). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat production.

Favors Under

The Giants are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 4th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have run the 10th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 60.9 plays per game.
The New York Giants O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
Opposing teams have rushed for the least yards in the league (just 85 per game) versus the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season.