Daniel Jones Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Daniel Jones

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · New York Giants

Rushing TD

New York Giants vs Chicago Bears · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 7:25 PM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Jones Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+261/-432).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +275 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +261.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 8th-most run-centric offense in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 44.5% red zone run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 7th-quickest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 27.52 seconds per snap.
The Chicago Bears linebackers profile as the 2nd-worst LB corps in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.
The New York Giants have gone no-huddle on 30.1% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-most in football). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat production.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to be a less important option in his team's run game near the goal line this week (22.6% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (30.0% in games he has played).
The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in football since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.
The New York Giants have utilized motion in their offense on 26.6% of their plays since the start of last season (2nd-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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