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Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 10

New York Giants vs Houston Texans

Daniel Jones Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+227/-355).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -300 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -355.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Giants are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 5th-most run-centric team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 48.1% red zone run rate.

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 2nd-fastest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 27.20 seconds per play.

THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to be a much bigger part of his offense's run game near the goal line this week (23.8% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (17.9% in games he has played).

Daniel Jones has run for 0.25 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest figures in the league among quarterbacks (89th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New York Giants O-line grades out as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year at blocking for rushers.

The New York Giants have utilized motion in their offense on 26.6% of their plays since the start of last season (2nd-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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