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Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders

Daniel Jones Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 195.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 214.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 195.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line implies a throwing game script for the Giants, who are -4.5-point underdogs.

The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the New York Giants this year (a staggering 61.4 per game on average).

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Daniel Jones has passed for significantly more adjusted yards per game (218.0) this year than he did last year (154.0).

As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Washington's CB corps has been dreadful this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Giants are expected by our trusted projection set to run only 63.4 total plays in this contest: the 8th-lowest number among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects Daniel Jones to throw 33.4 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 10th-fewest among all QBs.

Opposing teams have averaged 29.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense this year: 2nd-fewest in football.

Daniel Jones's throwing accuracy has worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 66.3% to 63.0%.

Daniel Jones is positioned as one of the worst per-play QBs in football this year, averaging just 6.26 adjusted yards-per-target while ranking in the lowly 19th percentile.

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