Daniel Jones Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Daniel Jones

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · New York Giants

Passing Yards

Miami Dolphins vs New York Giants · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 8, 2023 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Jones Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 218.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a huge 13-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
The predictive model expects the Giants to be the 6th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the New York Giants offense as the 9th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.57 seconds per snap.
Our trusted projections expect Daniel Jones to attempt 35.7 passes in this week's game, on average: the 9th-most among all quarterbacks.
With an exceptional 68.6% Adjusted Completion% (76th percentile) this year, Daniel Jones places among the best precision passers in the league.

Favors Under

The New York Giants offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
With a feeble 6.02 adjusted yards-per-target (21st percentile) this year, Daniel Jones ranks as one of the least effective passers in football.
As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Miami's collection of safeties has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the best in the league.

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