Daniel Jones Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Daniel Jones

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · New York Giants

Passing Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs New York Giants · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 2:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Jones Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 213.5 (-113/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 204.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 213.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New York Giants have run the 9th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 59.5 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Daniel Jones has been among the most on-target quarterbacks in football since the start of last season with an impressive 67.1% Completion%, ranking in the 90th percentile.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 6th-highest clip in football versus the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season (73.3%).
The Arizona Cardinals defense has not been good when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 5.89 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 2nd-most in football.

Favors Under

The Giants are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 5th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 53.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 122.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to attempt 31.1 passes in this week's game, on average: the 4th-least of all quarterbacks.
The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the 2nd-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all air attack stats across the board.

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