Daniel Jones Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Daniel Jones

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · New York Giants

Passing Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New York Giants · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 4:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Jones Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 197.5 (-145/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 197.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 197.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 10th-fastest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.91 seconds per play.
Daniel Jones's throwing precision has improved this year, with his Completion% increasing from 64.5% to 67.7%.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been particularly weak when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 7.01 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-most in the NFL.
The Jacksonville Jaguars safeties project as the 7th-worst group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to attempt 32.6 passes this week, on average: the 5th-least of all QBs.
The New York Giants O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
Daniel Jones has passed for substantially fewer yards per game (177.0) this year than he did last year (218.0).

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