Daniel Jones Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · New York Giants

Passing Yards

New York Giants vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 5:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Jones Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 205.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 214.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 205.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 9th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Daniel Jones has been among the most accurate quarterbacks in football this year with a stellar 67.4% Completion%, checking in at the 88th percentile.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has been vulnerable when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 6.09 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-most in football.
The New York Giants have used play action on 28.4% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (10th-most in football), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.
The New York Giants have gone no-huddle on 30.1% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.

Favors Under

The Giants are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 52.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to attempt 31.5 passes in this contest, on average: the 7th-least of all QBs.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 7th-least in the league.
The New York Giants O-line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all air attack stats across the board.