Daniel Jones Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Daniel Jones

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · New York Giants

Passing Yards

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 9:06 PM EST

Analysis

Daniel Jones Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 198.5 (+109/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 194.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 198.5 @ +109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 2nd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 60.0 plays per game.
Daniel Jones has been among the most on-target quarterbacks in the NFL this year with a terrific 67.2% Completion%, grading out in the 82nd percentile.
The New York Giants have incorporated play action on 28.4% of their passing plays since the start of last season (10th-most in the NFL), tricking the defense into thinking it's a run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 55.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
The New York Giants O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
Daniel Jones has been among the bottom passers in football this year, averaging 200.0 yards per game while grading out in the 25th percentile.
Opposing teams have thrown for the 6th-least yards in the league (just 212.0 per game) vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year.

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