Daniel Jones Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Daniel Jones

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · New York Giants

Passing Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 24, 2022 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Jones Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 193.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 193.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 193.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 61.6 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Dallas Cowboys defense has been particularly weak when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 6.55 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 6th-least pass-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 57.2% pass rate.
The New York Giants offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Daniel Jones has been among the worst QBs in the NFL this year, averaging 197.0 yards per game while grading out in the 24th percentile.
Opposing teams have passed for the least yards in the league (just 181.0 per game) vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has exhibited good efficiency this year, surrendering 6.92 yards-per-target: the 5th-least in the league.

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