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Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones Interceptions
Player Prop Week 6

New York Giants vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Daniel Jones Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-103/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Giants are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The New York Giants have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 61.2 plays per game.
  • The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 42.6 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
  • The Baltimore Ravens have stacked the box vs. opponents on 18.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Giants have been the 6th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.0% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to attempt 34.4 passes in this contest, on average: the 5th-least of all QBs.
  • The New York Giants O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.
  • Daniel Jones has thrown a lowly 0.36 interceptions per game this year, ranking in the 85th percentile among QBs.

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