Daniel Jones Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Daniel Jones

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · New York Giants

Completions

Cleveland Browns vs New York Giants · Week 3, 2024

Updated Sep 22, 2024 7:32 PM EST

Analysis

Daniel Jones Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+106/-138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -138.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A throwing game script is suggested by the Giants being a -6.5-point underdog this week.
The model projects the Giants offense to be the 7th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 27.28 seconds per play.

Favors Under

Daniel Jones has attempted just 26.6 passes per game since the start of last season, checking in at the 20th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.
Opposing teams have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game against the Browns defense since the start of last season: 6th-fewest in the NFL.
The Giants O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
Daniel Jones's 52.5% Adjusted Completion% this year signifies a noteworthy reduction in his passing accuracy over last year's 66.3% figure.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the lowest rate in football versus the Browns defense since the start of last season (61.9% Adjusted Completion%).

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