Daniel Jones Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Daniel Jones

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · New York Giants

Completions

New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Jones Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-105/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Giants to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have called the 10th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 34.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Giants rank as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 56.2% pass rate.
The New York Giants O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
The Dallas Cowboys linebackers project as the 6th-best collection of LBs in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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