Daniel Jones Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Daniel Jones

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · New York Giants

Completions

New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 27, 2022 3:00 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Jones Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run among all games this week at 129.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.9 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league.
Daniel Jones's throwing accuracy has been refined this season, with his Completion% jumping from 64.5% to 70.6%.
The New York Giants have used play action on 28.4% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (10th-most in the league), tricking the defense into thinking it's a run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.
The New York Giants have gone no-huddle on 30.1% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-most in the league). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 56.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New York Giants have called the least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 61.7 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to attempt 32.9 passes in this week's game, on average: the least of all QBs.
The New York Giants O-line grades out as the worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the lowest level in the NFL versus the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season (64.2%).

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