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Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones Completions
Player Prop Week 11

New York Giants vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Daniel Jones Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-126/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -126.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The New York Giants have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.1 plays per game.
  • Daniel Jones has been among the most on-target passers in the league this year with a terrific 66.7% Completion%, checking in at the 76th percentile.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 7th-highest clip in football vs. the Detroit Lions defense this year (73.5%).
  • The Detroit Lions cornerbacks rank as the 2nd-worst group of CBs in football this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Giants are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 46.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to attempt 28.3 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 4th-least of all QBs.
  • The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.

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