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Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones Carries
Player Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Giants

Daniel Jones Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New York Giants have called the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 61.0 plays per game.

In totaling a whopping 6.1 carries per game this year, Daniel Jones places among the top QBs in football (85th percentile) when it comes to ground game workload.

Comprising 25.4% of his offense's run game usage this year (90th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks), Daniel Jones's mobility marks him as a major weapon in New York's rushing attack.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line suggests a running game script for the Giants, who are favored by 3 points.

The leading projections forecast the Giants to be the least run-focused team on the slate this week with a 40.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the New York Giants are forecasted by the projection model to run just 61.7 offensive plays in this contest: the lowest number among all teams this week.

Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally lead to better passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and lower rush volume.

As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Pittsburgh's unit has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the best in the NFL.

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