Daniel Jones Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Daniel Jones

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · New York Giants

Carries

New York Giants vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 3, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Jones Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+102/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast Daniel Jones to garner 8.2 rush attempts in this week's game, on average: the 4th-most among all QBs.

Favors Under

The projections expect this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being called for in this game) typically prompt better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.
The leading projections forecast Daniel Jones to be a much smaller part of his offense's run game in this week's game (29.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (35.6% in games he has played).
The Giants O-line profiles as the 8th-worst in the league since the start of last season in run blocking.
The Seattle Seahawks linebackers rank as the 3rd-best unit in the league since the start of last season with their run defense.

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