Daniel Jones Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Daniel Jones

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · New York Giants

Carries

New York Giants vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Jones Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants have been the 7th-most run-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) this year with a 43.0% run rate.
The New York Giants have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 61.2 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to earn 5.1 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 7th-most of all QBs.
THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to be a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this week (19.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (10.4% in games he has played).
The New York Giants have gone no-huddle on 30.1% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

Favors Under

The Giants are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Baltimore Ravens defensive tackles grade out as the 2nd-best DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.
The Baltimore Ravens have stacked the box vs. opponents on 18.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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