Daniel Jones Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Daniel Jones

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · New York Giants

Carries

Green Bay Packers vs New York Giants · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 7, 2022 7:50 PM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Jones Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-106/-129).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants have been the 5th-most run-oriented offense in the league (in a neutral context) this year with a 42.6% run rate.
The New York Giants have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 63.5 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to accrue 5.8 carries in this week's game, on average: the 7th-most of all quarterbacks.
The Green Bay Packers linebackers grade out as the 5th-worst group of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.
The Green Bay Packers have stacked the box versus opponents on just 8.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

Favors Under

The Giants are a massive 8-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the least total plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

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