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Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones Carries
Player Prop Week 20

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Daniel Jones Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 10th-most run-centric offense in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 41.5% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 138.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The New York Giants have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.
  • Daniel Jones has averaged 6.7 carries per game this year, one of the biggest rates in football among quarterbacks (92nd percentile).
  • THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to be much more involved in his team's rushing attack this week (24.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (12.3% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Giants are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The New York Giants offensive line grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year at opening holes for runners.

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