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Daniel Bellinger

Daniel Bellinger Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Atlanta Falcons vs New York Giants

Daniel Bellinger Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-149).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -204 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -149.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Giants will be forced to start backup QB Drew Lock in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Giants are a heavy 8.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Giants to be the 7th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 61.2% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Giants offense to be the 7th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 26.85 seconds per play.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New York Giants offensive line ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

The Falcons pass defense has surrendered the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (69.6%) vs. TEs this year (69.6%).

As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Atlanta's safety corps has been terrific this year, projecting as the 6th-best in the NFL.

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