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Daniel Bellinger

Daniel Bellinger Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

New York Giants vs Minnesota Vikings

Daniel Bellinger Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+112/-146).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -146.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Giants to call the 7th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game against the Vikings defense last year: 7th-most in the league.

With a terrific 89.4% Adjusted Catch Rate (100th percentile) last year, Daniel Bellinger stands among the most sure-handed receivers in the league among tight ends.

Last year, the poor Minnesota Vikings pass defense has been torched for a massive 78.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 2nd-largest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Giants to be the 6th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 54.8% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The New York O-line profiles as the worst in the league last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all air attack stats across the board.

As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Minnesota's collection of safeties has been tremendous last year, ranking as the 9th-best in football.

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