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Daniel Bellinger

Daniel Bellinger Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

New York Giants vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Daniel Bellinger Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+135/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -165.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New York Giants will be starting backup QB Tyrod Taylor in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • A passing game script is implied by the Giants being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • The model projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 132.4 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Rams defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (38.5 per game) this year.
  • The Los Angeles Rams safeties project as the 5th-worst safety corps in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Giants as the 9th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 54.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Daniel Bellinger's 41.7% Route Participation Rate this season illustrates a noteworthy reduction in his passing attack usage over last season's 65.9% mark.
  • The Giants offensive line ranks as the worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • Daniel Bellinger's 1.7 adjusted receptions per game this year shows an impressive reduction in his receiving talent over last year's 2.7 mark.
  • Daniel Bellinger's receiving reliability have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 91.2% to 87.2%.

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