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Daniel Bellinger

Daniel Bellinger Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

Daniel Bellinger Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+155/-210).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Giants, who are big -14-point underdogs.

Our trusted projections expect the Giants as the 7th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 60.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 41.1 pass attempts per game against the Eagles defense this year: most in the NFL.

Daniel Bellinger profiles as one of the best possession receivers in football among tight ends, completing a terrific 89.3% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 90th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Giants to call the 6th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

Daniel Bellinger's 41.8% Route Participation% this year represents a significant regression in his air attack utilization over last year's 65.9% figure.

The New York offensive line profiles as the worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

Daniel Bellinger's 1.5 adjusted catches per game this season conveys a meaningful drop-off in his receiving talent over last season's 2.7 figure.

As it relates to defensive ends rushing the passer, Philadelphia's DE corps has been great this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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