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Daniel Bellinger

Daniel Bellinger Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Daniel Bellinger Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Giants being an enormous -7.5-point underdog this week.
  • The projections expect the New York Giants to call the 5th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.9 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The Giants have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.7 plays per game.
  • The Commanders defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (40.1 per game) this year.
  • In this game, Daniel Bellinger is projected by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 76th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.0 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the New York Giants to be the 5th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 52.7% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The New York Giants offensive line ranks as the worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • Daniel Bellinger's 1.3 adjusted catches per game this season conveys a significant diminishment in his receiving skills over last season's 2.7 figure.
  • Daniel Bellinger's possession skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 91.2% to 80.4%.

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