Daniel Bellinger Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Bellinger

TE · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New York Giants · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 4:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Bellinger Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (+102/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 10th-fastest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.91 seconds per play.
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, yielding an average of 8.09 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-most in football.
The Jacksonville Jaguars safeties project as the 7th-worst group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have stacked the box against opponents on 22.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
The New York Giants O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has conceded the 8th-lowest Completion% in football (65.3%) to tight ends this year (65.3%).
The New York Giants O-line has afforded their QB just 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all pass game statistics across the board.