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Daniel Bellinger

Daniel Bellinger Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Green Bay Packers vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Daniel Bellinger Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+101/-133).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ +101.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Giants are a big 9.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • The New York Giants have run the 9th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 63.5 plays per game.
  • The Green Bay Packers pass defense has allowed the 8th-highest Completion% in the league (74.7%) vs. TEs since the start of last season (74.7%).
  • The Green Bay Packers safeties project as the worst collection of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Green Bay Packers pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.52 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 8th-slowest in football since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Giants rank as the 5th-least pass-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.5% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 29.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 3rd-least in football.
  • The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

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