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Daniel Bellinger

Daniel Bellinger Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

New York Giants vs Indianapolis Colts

Daniel Bellinger Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-143/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ +108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 9th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, conceding an average of 5.67 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-most in the NFL.

The New York Giants have used play action on 28.4% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (10th-most in football), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

The New York Giants have gone no-huddle on 30.1% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Giants are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 52.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 7th-least in the league.

The New York Giants O-line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all air attack stats across the board.

The Indianapolis Colts defense has conceded the 6th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 39.0) versus TEs this year.

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