Daniel Bellinger Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Daniel Bellinger

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Bellinger

TE · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Bellinger Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-101/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a heavy 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 6th-quickest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 27.50 seconds per play.
The New York Giants have utilized play action on 28.4% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (10th-most in football), tricking the defense into thinking it's a run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.
The New York Giants have gone no-huddle on 30.1% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-most in football). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 9th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 53.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game against the Washington Commanders defense this year: 4th-least in the NFL.
The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
The Washington Commanders defense has surrendered the 2nd-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 34.0) to TEs this year.
The Washington Commanders pass defense has shown good efficiency vs. TEs this year, yielding 6.12 yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-least in the league.

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