Daniel Bellinger Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Daniel Bellinger

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Bellinger

TE · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM EST

Analysis

Daniel Bellinger Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+100/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New York Giants have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 60.1 plays per game.
The New York Giants have incorporated play action on 28.4% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (10th-most in football), causing the defense to bite on the run and resulting in much higher passing production.
The New York Giants have gone no-huddle on 30.1% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-most in football). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat-padding.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 6th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense this year: 4th-least in the league.
The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
The Washington Commanders defense has surrendered the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in football (just 35.0) vs. TEs this year.

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