Daniel Bellinger Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Daniel Bellinger

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Bellinger

TE · New York Giants

Receiving TD

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 5:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Bellinger Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+390/-818).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +439 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +390.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 2nd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 60.0 plays per game.
The Philadelphia Eagles safeties rank as the 3rd-worst unit in the league this year in covering receivers.
The New York Giants have incorporated play action on 28.4% of their passing plays since the start of last season (10th-most in the NFL), tricking the defense into thinking it's a run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

Favors Under

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
The New York Giants O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has yielded the 3rd-lowest Completion% in football (63.4%) versus TEs this year (63.4%).
The New York Giants O-line has allowed their QB a mere 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
The Philadelphia Eagles defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.40 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 7th-quickest in the league since the start of last season.

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