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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Chicago Bears vs Los Angeles Rams

D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-132/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 38.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.3 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The Chicago Bears have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 60.3 plays per game.

The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

D'Andre Swift has picked up 55.0 adjusted rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the highest marks in the league among RBs (82nd percentile).

This year, the fierce Los Angeles Rams run defense has conceded a paltry 5.18 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing offenses: the 26th-lowest rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects D'Andre Swift to be much less involved in his offense's run game in this contest (33.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (52.9% in games he has played).

D'Andre Swift's running effectiveness has declined this season, totaling a mere 1.65 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 4.33 mark last season.

With a lousy rate of 1.70 yards after contact (5th percentile) this year, D'Andre Swift rates among the easiest-to-tackle RBs in football.

More D'Andre Swift Player Props

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