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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears

D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-103/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 52.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 49.5 @ -127.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Chicago Bears have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 59.8 plays per game.

In this game, D'Andre Swift is projected by the projection model to secure a spot in the 86th percentile when it comes to running backs with 16.9 carries.

The model projects D'Andre Swift to be much less involved in his team's rushing attack in this contest (48.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (60.9% in games he has played).

D'Andre Swift has picked up 54.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the largest figures in football among running backs (76th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bears are a huge 7-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

The predictive model expects the Bears as the least run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 37.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 125.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

D'Andre Swift's running effectiveness (3.66 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL this year (11th percentile among RBs).

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