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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

San Francisco 49ers vs Chicago Bears

D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 53.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 54.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Chicago Bears have run the 4th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 60.8 plays per game.

The leading projections forecast D'Andre Swift to accrue 16.6 rush attempts in this contest, on average, putting him in the 87th percentile when it comes to running backs.

After making up 49.3% of his team's rush attempts last year, D'Andre Swift has been more involved in the running game this year, currently making up 59.6%.

With an impressive tally of 56.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (77th percentile), D'Andre Swift has been among the top running backs in the NFL this year.

As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, San Francisco's group of safeties has been terrible this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Bears are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.

The model projects the Chicago Bears to be the 10th-least run-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 38.1% run rate.

The projections expect this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 123.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

D'Andre Swift's rushing efficiency (3.75 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (17th percentile when it comes to RBs).

D'Andre Swift comes in as one of the bottom RBs in the NFL at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging a mere 2.46 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 11th percentile.

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