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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-137/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 46.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 48.5 @ -137.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bears have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 61.3 plays per game.
  • In this week's game, D'Andre Swift is forecasted by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 75th percentile among running backs with 13.5 carries.
  • D'Andre Swift has earned 58.8% of his offense's rushing play calls this year, putting him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • With a stellar total of 57.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (79th percentile), D'Andre Swift places among the leading RBs in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread implies an extreme throwing game script for the Bears, who are heavy -9.5-point underdogs.
  • The projections expect the Chicago Bears to be the 4th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 36.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects the Bears to call the 5th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • With an atrocious rate of 3.75 adjusted yards per carry (12th percentile) this year, D'Andre Swift stands as one of the worst pure rushers in football at the position.

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