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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-130/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 70.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 64.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 14-point advantage, the Eagles are overwhelmingly favored this week, suggesting much more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Eagles to run on 51.9% of their downs: the 2nd-highest rate on the slate this week.

To the extent of a defense's impact on pace, at 27.47 seconds per play, the model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 5th-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) right now.

Our trusted projections expect D'Andre Swift to accumulate 15.3 carries in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 87th percentile among RBs.

D'Andre Swift has been a more important option in his offense's ground game this season (48.3% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (25.3%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

D'Andre Swift's rushing efficiency has tailed off this year, totaling just 4.40 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 5.43 mark last year.

The New York Giants defensive tackles project as the best unit in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

More D'Andre Swift Player Props

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