D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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D'Andre Swift

NFL · Player Props

D'Andre Swift

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 19, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 62.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 58.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 62.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is indicated by the Eagles being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to run on 49.9% of their chances: the 3rd-highest clip among all teams this week.
In this week's game, D'Andre Swift is expected by our trusted projection set to finish in the 86th percentile among RBs with 15.3 carries.
After taking on 25.3% of his offense's rush attempts last season, D'Andre Swift has been called on more in the running game this season, now taking on 48.4%.
As it relates to blocking for ball-carriers (and the importance it has on all ground game stats), the offensive line of the Philadelphia Eagles grades out as the 4th-best in football last year.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Eagles offense to be the most sluggish paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 28.45 seconds per play.
D'Andre Swift's 4.5 adjusted yards per carry this season indicates a significant drop-off in his rushing ability over last season's 5.4 figure.
With an awful record of 2.49 yards after contact (15th percentile) this year, D'Andre Swift has been as one of the least effective RBs in the NFL.

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