D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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D'Andre Swift

NFL · Player Props

D'Andre Swift

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 11, 2023 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

D'Andre Swift has been a more integral piece of his team's ground game this season (48.1% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (25.3%).
The Philadelphia O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the league last year at blocking for rushers.
D'Andre Swift's 63.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year marks a significant improvement in his running skills over last year's 38.0 rate.

Favors Under

The Philadelphia Eagles boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Johnson, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to lean 1.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
This game's spread implies a throwing game script for the Eagles, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 7th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 28.60 seconds per play.
The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
D'Andre Swift's 4.6 adjusted yards per carry this season reflects a noteable decline in his rushing talent over last season's 5.4 rate.

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